TAS
Senior Member
Agreed regarding Lennox's qualifications and potential. But he's in tough.
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SarcasticMarmot
Active Member
What an odd read of Griesbach. This riding has been the centre of NDP support for a very long time, the core of it was Brian Mason's riding in the early 2000s when the NDP brand had none of the value it does in Alberta. The Liberals have been solidly third in every election since the rising was formed, even during 2015's "Trudeau mania". The only reason Diotte won before was vote splitting on the left, so it was far from a "surprise result" when Desjarlais won.
Regardless of how qualified Lennox is, he has zero chance of winning this riding. Blake has been a very effective and visible representative of the community and has the best chance of winning.
And we've had to deal with Diotte as a representative before, he is a useless embarrassment of an MP to have. So that is a significant downside vs some throwaway vote for a candidate with no chance.
kcantor
Senior Member
^
Diotte was elected twice before Desjarlais, the last time with more than 50% of the votes cast. That’s not vote splitting although it probably included more than a little “anybody but Trudeau” sentiment. Even as that sentiment increased, Diotte’s percentage dropped to 37% in the last election even though he had no qualified, capable opponents. With two qualified, capable opponents this time, I would be surprised - and disappointed as I agree with your assessment of his performance - if he achieves 30 - 33% of the votes cast. That means there is no need for strategic voting as either winner between the other two should carry the riding.
Diotte was elected twice before Desjarlais, the last time with more than 50% of the votes cast. That’s not vote splitting although it probably included more than a little “anybody but Trudeau” sentiment. Even as that sentiment increased, Diotte’s percentage dropped to 37% in the last election even though he had no qualified, capable opponents. With two qualified, capable opponents this time, I would be surprised - and disappointed as I agree with your assessment of his performance - if he achieves 30 - 33% of the votes cast. That means there is no need for strategic voting as either winner between the other two should carry the riding.
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David A
Senior Member
When I last checked she was ahead, but I feel the Conservative vote is more solid and people in this area are being told to strategically vote for the NDP, so this one may be closer than it seems or they may end up with a Conservative MP if they are not careful.
Sohi, seems to be an even closer race, so yes if he wins he will likely be in cabinet, but I wouldn't count on either. We could still end up with enough vote splitting here so the Conservatives win all except one or two.
BASE
Active Member
I would be surprised if Sohi wins Southeast based on current popularity as Mayor but maybe that isn't factored in as much or is more popular in that region that Edmonton at large. Sohi may also be buoyed enough by general Liberal popularity.
Gronk!
Senior Member
I'm seeing more Eleanor Olszewski lawn signs in the Rossdale neighborhood.
Also, there's this:
Also, there's this:
thommyjo
Senior Member
Barnaby
Senior Member
Neither deca-millionaire is going to address the housing issue, which is probably great for Edmonton, as the City has done a fantastic job of ensuring housing elasticity.
Regarding exports and resources. Canada is first and foremost a natural resource economy, and the dollar strength is completely dependent on oil exports. Both parties have vowed to work on this, but Carney's past indicates he's either lying or going for a more balanced approach. Alberta needs refineries.
The Liberal party would be undoubtedly better for transit construction (duh). I don't like their focus on BEVs though, I'm a train guy.
Both parties should commit to abolishing the carbon tax, or alternatively replacing a majority of income tax/corporate tax with solely the carbon tax.
While I think the CPC TFSA plan is a nightmare unless they create an additional registered account type for tracking purposes (think CTFSA?) If this is done, it's great. Rewarding Canadians for investing locally is great. I don't believe this would lead to an evaluation bubble.
Everyone in the country needs to spend less time getting mad at the weather (USA) and deal with the issues. The whining is unbearable, and unproductive.
I also propose an income tax of 35% to all Canadian nationals living in the USA, especially architects in California.
Regarding exports and resources. Canada is first and foremost a natural resource economy, and the dollar strength is completely dependent on oil exports. Both parties have vowed to work on this, but Carney's past indicates he's either lying or going for a more balanced approach. Alberta needs refineries.
The Liberal party would be undoubtedly better for transit construction (duh). I don't like their focus on BEVs though, I'm a train guy.
Both parties should commit to abolishing the carbon tax, or alternatively replacing a majority of income tax/corporate tax with solely the carbon tax.
While I think the CPC TFSA plan is a nightmare unless they create an additional registered account type for tracking purposes (think CTFSA?) If this is done, it's great. Rewarding Canadians for investing locally is great. I don't believe this would lead to an evaluation bubble.
Everyone in the country needs to spend less time getting mad at the weather (USA) and deal with the issues. The whining is unbearable, and unproductive.
I also propose an income tax of 35% to all Canadian nationals living in the USA, especially architects in California.
policyenthusiast
Active Member
Nice breakdown. I'm also curious how the CPC TFSA could work. If when filing your taxes you just needed to provide proof of the Canadian securities up to $5,000 you purchased through your TFSA, what's to stop people from buying 5k worth of TD stock, selling it immediately, then buying American stocks with the money? Would there be a minimum holding time on the Canadian securities? What about CAD-hedged stocks, or ETFs like XEQT that contain a portion of Canadian stocks but are mostly international?
I'm glad I don't work for the CRA, some of the campaign promises being made are a logistical nightmare that's compounding on the flip-flopping capital gains policy.
Barnaby
Senior Member
I think it would need to be a dedicated account type with a unique criteria for eligible holdings. We just saw the addition of the FHSA, another registered account type wouldn't be hard to implement.
ETFs could easily be created to meet demand and fall within the criteria. Maybe the entire TSX would be eligible?
ETFs could easily be created to meet demand and fall within the criteria. Maybe the entire TSX would be eligible?
policyenthusiast
Active Member
Rod Loyola has received a cease and desist letter from the LPC for putting out what appear to be Liberal party signs with stickers to cover up the LPC branding.
bodsbods9090
Senior Member
BASE
Active Member
He's just looking out for the environment!
kcantor
Senior Member
^
Or he’s either sending an intentional message (ergo the case and desist) or he simply can’t afford new signage.
Or he’s either sending an intentional message (ergo the case and desist) or he simply can’t afford new signage.
TAS
Senior Member
Carney is spending part of the final day of the election in... his hometown Edmonton on Sunday.
Looks like it will be around 2:30pm from what I'm reading online - then off to Cal and Van. Definitely some tight races in Alberta's two big cities.
Not sure where other leaders will be.
Looks like it will be around 2:30pm from what I'm reading online - then off to Cal and Van. Definitely some tight races in Alberta's two big cities.
Not sure where other leaders will be.
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