David A
Senior Member
Interestingly, he ran for the UCP in a nearby area in the last provincial election. So much for the CPC trying to distance itself from Smith.
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- Thread starter TAS
- Start date
David A
Senior Member
Yeah, but there are two other Federal debates Carney is participating in and Edmonton Centre wasn't asking each party to also chip in $75,000 each to participate like TVA was, so the comparison is not quite the same.
David A
Senior Member
Yes, since 1980 Quebec has voted for four fairly different parties in various elections, can't say that for Alberta. The outcome in this election in Alberta will likely also be fairly predictable again.
Avenuer
Senior Member
'Today Sayid holds an MA in Economics from the University of Ottawa and is currently a Senior Director at the Government of Alberta’s Department of Health, where he works tirelessly to improve the province’s healthcare system.'
So if he had a part to play in the dismantling of AHS, shows you what he really thinks about public services.
So if he had a part to play in the dismantling of AHS, shows you what he really thinks about public services.
policyenthusiast
Active Member
I've written his office as well - no response. I live in his riding and not a single door knocker from the CPC has come by. If he wins due to a vote split I will be livid - he is not competent and is not engaging with Edmonton.
Gus Haynes
Active Member
The biggest Sayid Ahmed signs in my neighborhood are on vacant/under construction infill lots. 
Edmcowboy11
Senior Member
Well I do hope that people pay attention and vote smart. It would be unfortunate if a seat is lost due to split votes.
policyenthusiast
Active Member
Anyone know if there are votership projections by riding? Would be very useful in avoiding this.
I don't particularly care who wins in my riding, as long as it isn't the CPC guy. I don't mind the party, but the candidate is not great.
SarcasticMarmot
Active Member
This is the closest I have seen as a tool to coordinate for the non-conservatives. It's based on 338's riding profiles which are extrapolated from national polling data so the methodology is definitely not ideal but I don't believe anyone is doing public riding level polling in Edmonton. Maybe the parties have some internal polling we don't get to see. This passes the vibe check based on history for me so I would consider it useful but your comfort may vary.
BASE
Active Member
The above looks really good for NDP/LPC and pretty bleak for CPC compared to historical. It's mostly feels paired with historical but I would have like this:
Edmonton Centre - 3 way toss up (I would suggest NDP might be the ABC vote if that's your thing)
Edmonton Gateway - Leaning CPC
Edmonton Griesbach - CPC/NDP toss up
Edmonton Manning - CPC Likely
Edmonton Northwest - CPC Leaning
Edmonton Riverbend - CPC Leaning
Edmonton Southeast - CPC/LPC toss up
Edmonton Strathcona - NDP Lock
Edmonton West - CPC Leaning
In the end I think of 9 ridings it will be 2 LPC, 2 NDP, 5 CPC
Edmonton Centre - 3 way toss up (I would suggest NDP might be the ABC vote if that's your thing)
Edmonton Gateway - Leaning CPC
Edmonton Griesbach - CPC/NDP toss up
Edmonton Manning - CPC Likely
Edmonton Northwest - CPC Leaning
Edmonton Riverbend - CPC Leaning
Edmonton Southeast - CPC/LPC toss up
Edmonton Strathcona - NDP Lock
Edmonton West - CPC Leaning
In the end I think of 9 ridings it will be 2 LPC, 2 NDP, 5 CPC
kcantor
Senior Member
I think the problem with pure second guessing and strategic voting instead of selecting the best candidate is that even if successful it might not yield the best results.
As an example, we have been moved from Strathcona to Griebach. While in a two person race I would vote for Desharlais over Diotte in a heartbeat, there is no way that as nice an individual as I am sure he is and as much as he brings a voice that deserves to be heard that Desharlais will be a strong voice in our next government.
The Liberals on the other hand do stand a good chance of forming the next government and, in Lennox, have selected a candidate who I would consider to be “cabinet material” based on his background and skills and expertise and not solely for representing a red riding in a sea of blue. His candidacy makes it more than a two person race.
Somewhat like Carney, he seems more than capable of doing the job regardless of party affiliation and he seems capable of empathizing with and representing all of his constituents regardless of whether they voted for him or not (the ultimate compliment that can be given to an elected individual from my perspective).
As an example, we have been moved from Strathcona to Griebach. While in a two person race I would vote for Desharlais over Diotte in a heartbeat, there is no way that as nice an individual as I am sure he is and as much as he brings a voice that deserves to be heard that Desharlais will be a strong voice in our next government.
The Liberals on the other hand do stand a good chance of forming the next government and, in Lennox, have selected a candidate who I would consider to be “cabinet material” based on his background and skills and expertise and not solely for representing a red riding in a sea of blue. His candidacy makes it more than a two person race.
Somewhat like Carney, he seems more than capable of doing the job regardless of party affiliation and he seems capable of empathizing with and representing all of his constituents regardless of whether they voted for him or not (the ultimate compliment that can be given to an elected individual from my perspective).
David A
Senior Member
I believe the 338 polling was fairly accurate last time, at least in the ridings in Edmonton I was following closely. If it is to be believed this time Edmonton Centre is not a three way race, but clearly a two way race between the Liberals and the CPC and the NDP is way behind. Given national polling and that this riding has switched between the Liberals and the CPC over the years, that makes sense.
In other ridings, the splits are different, so I feel if you don't want the CPC to win, you probably should support the non CPC incumbent parties in each of the ridings here that have them.
Markyeg
Active Member
Edmonton Centre has never been won by the NDP and is LPC right now. Given national trends the non-Conservative vote should be LPC. As great as a candidate Estabrooks might be, it’s not the right election for her.
BASE
Active Member
Fair point, I based it on the fact NDP performed fairly well last election, Conservatives running a different candidate than last few elections, and whether the Randy Boissonnault scandal would hamper the liberal brand in the riding. Maybe the overall federal standing of the NDP will be too much to overcome beyond the safest of seats.
Gronk!
Senior Member
‘It could go either way’: Vote-splitting real possibility in Edmonton Centre
Vote splitting: it’s the bane of a political party’s existence when it has a rival in its ideological sphere.
www.ctvnews.ca