Gronk!
Senior Member
 
					
				Smith’s trip to Middle East draws criticism amid back-to-school mandate
The same day Alberta’s government invoked the notwithstanding clause to bring teachers back to work, Premier Danielle Smith boarded a plane.
				 
					
				Did they end up blending rural and urban ridings? If so, the Edmonton & Calgary pickups could still give more weight to the rural vote.Calgary and Edmonton seat change is +4 while rest of Alberta is -2, following the trend of recent redistributions. Rural areas still overrepresented, but this report bodes well for Albertans.
 
					
				 
					
				Somehow I doubt Smith will be as popular if oil remains around $60, as opposed to over $100 around the time of the last election. I don't believe she will be able to buy or spend her way out of her problems next time.The NDP needs a net pick-up of six seats in the next election to have a clear majority. Not saying that that'll be easy, but these redrawn boundaries could make a big difference. Calgary (where the NDP now has 14/26 seats) will still be the big battleground.
Somewhat like other provinces, in Alberta big cities lean a certain way and rural areas another, so the battle again may be partly fought in the suburban areas. It was a disappointment last election that the NDP could not do better in places like Morinville and other communities close to Edmonton.While the report is still vulnerable to politics, looks like Canmore, Spruce Grove, Beaumont, Cochrane and Okotoks got the brunt of rurban redistributions. Medicine Hat, Fort McMurray, and Airdrie didn't get back their urban ridings from the last redistribution.
The biggest changes for Edmonton is Enoch will be joined into the urban ridings, Edmonton- Riverview is being cut and split between Glenora and Strathcona, and two new ridings in the deep south.
I generally stay pretty open-minded about the UCP's re-election chances, but I don't see them bouncing back from their handling of the teacher strike.Somehow I doubt Smith will be as popular if oil remains around $60, as opposed to over $100 around the time of the last election. I don't believe she will be able to buy or spend her way out of her problems next time.




