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Kyle Hutton has transposed the 23 election onto the proposed new ridings. Results in a 48-41 split in favour of the UCP. Im not sure how reputable this fellow is however.

https://bluntobjects.substack.com/p/alberta-interim-boundaries-transposition

So for the NDP to form a government they would need to flip 4+ seats. Most vulnerable UCP holdings are the Edmonton bedroom communities, suburban Calgary, and Lethbridge/Red Deer.

I like to think that the UCP's governing, particularly their handling of the teachers, strike has angered AB voters enough to kick them out. But I have been disappointed before.
 
I fear that voting in Alberta is an entrenched thing. Many people don't look at policies or what a party stands for; they look at the colour. My pappy has always voted blue, so has my grandpappy before him, and now so do I, and thus it shall be in perpetuity. I hope I'm wrong.
 
Kyle Hutton has transposed the 23 election onto the proposed new ridings. Results in a 48-41 split in favour of the UCP. Im not sure how reputable this fellow is however.

https://bluntobjects.substack.com/p/alberta-interim-boundaries-transposition

So for the NDP to form a government they would need to flip 4+ seats. Most vulnerable UCP holdings are the Edmonton bedroom communities, suburban Calgary, and Lethbridge/Red Deer.

I like to think that the UCP's governing, particularly their handling of the teachers, strike has angered AB voters enough to kick them out. But I have been disappointed before.
I haven't check the accuracy of this, but what a public service it is to do this kind of thing! Gold star to him.
 
Some weird ones I saw:
Calgary-Okotoks - wouldn’t Okotoks be better off with Diamond Valley?
Edmonton-Enoch - Enoch has more urban elements, but wouldn’t the be better off with Spruce Grove.
Stony Plain-Drayton Valley-Devon - Do Stony Plain and Drayton Valley jive

I think geopolitical interests are better served with places like Lethbridge having their own MLAs.
 
Some weird ones I saw:
Calgary-Okotoks - wouldn’t Okotoks be better off with Diamond Valley?
Edmonton-Enoch - Enoch has more urban elements, but wouldn’t the be better off with Spruce Grove.
Stony Plain-Drayton Valley-Devon - Do Stony Plain and Drayton Valley jive

I think geopolitical interests are better served with places like Lethbridge having their own MLAs.
The report itself admits that Calgary-Okotoks isn't perfect and they have an alternate proposal that I believe does just what you suggested. My guess would be that this gets changed in the final report.

Enoch is strange, but the report notes that there are more and more ties between Enoch and Edmonton. I think this one is fine.

Agree re Stony Plain-Drayton Valley-Devon. I think they struggled around the "Edmonton Donut" and need to revisit a few of those.
 
I fear that voting in Alberta is an entrenched thing. Many people don't look at policies or what a party stands for; they look at the colour. My pappy has always voted blue, so has my grandpappy before him, and now so do I, and thus it shall be in perpetuity. I hope I'm wrong.
I think - hope - you will be wrong. Every year that goes by there are more and more Albertans whose pappys and grandpappys wouldn’t have been able to find Alberta on a map.
 
EVERYTHING this government does is willfully done for political gain no matter how embarrassing or egregious it is. :(
This playing with constituency ridings' boundaries is a direct cop from Trump's playbook -- draw in enough ruralites to counter the progressive edge of urbanites so we win more often -- to hell with what the people actually want. It's Politicos picking votes instead of people picking their desired representatives... the latter being the way democracy is supposed to work.
 

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