[nfitz]

My employer conceives of the country as BC-MB+NW Ontario as 'west', and everything else as 'east'. The divide being the Canadian Shield in Ontario. East is Ontario, Quebec, Atlantic.

Not sure that means much - my old employer considered the Maritimes as "Northeast Canada". (and we've certainly heard BC called the Pacific Northwest before).

Ontario and Quebec are so utterly different than the four Eastern provinces, that it seems weird to lump them together.

 

[lenaitch]

My employer conceives of the country as BC-MB+NW Ontario as 'west', and everything else as 'east'. The divide being the Canadian Shield in Ontario. East is Ontario, Quebec, Atlantic.

That fails even on a rudimentary geological level. That would start 'the west' around the Severn River in Central Ontario and include the Kingston area in 'the west'.

Not sure that means much - my old employer considered the Maritimes as "Northeast Canada". (and we've certainly heard BC called the Pacific Northwest before).

Ontario and Quebec are so utterly different than the four Eastern provinces, that it seems weird to lump them together.

What did they consider 'southeast Canada' and the 'Pacific southwest'?

 

[PL1]

What did they consider 'southeast Canada' and the 'Pacific southwest'?

Pacific Northwest refers to the US, and BC is getting lazily lumped in with Oregon and Washington. The term doesn't work in a Canadian context, IMO

 

[picard102]

To me, Ontario ends and the West starts somewhere between Thunder Bay and Dryden.

As someone from Fort Frances, this does not track.

 

[T3G]

BC’s its own animal.

This is a headache inducing map. Love how only half of the cardinal directions are represented and the "west" doesn't even include the westernmost part of the country!!!

 

[evandyk]

As someone from Fort Frances, this does not track.

I'm not sure if that's Ontario, Manitoba or Minnesota, but it's not part of central Canada.

 

[picard102]

I'm not sure if that's Ontario, Manitoba or Minnesota, but it's not part of central Canada.

It's Ontario, which is central Canada.

 

[PinkLucy]

So .... about that election .... 338 Canada is still calling for a Liberal majority but says they will do a final update Sunday night. https://338canada.com/

 

[Coolibop]

Jennifer was a popular city councillor in Pickering... I have no idea who will run in her place, nor can I think of anyone at present who would be a good replacement...this applies to all candidates regardless of party for what it's worth.

I think the PCs think it may be close win for them: Poilievre is in the riding tomorrow. Maybe one to watch as close race on Monday...

 

[thettctransitfanatic]

My personal final election prediction:

Unless all the polls are wrong or there is a polling error tomorrow night, I think the Liberals will likely win a small, very modest majority government. It will not be a big one, but they will get a majority I think largely through picking up seats in Quebec from the Bloc Quebecois and also some NDP seats across the country, and maybe a few other random ones sprinkled around Canada as well, like Peterborough. I think the Conservatives will form a very strong Opposition, will gain several seats, and will get the highest vote share since 2011 when they won a majority, but that due to the NDP and Bloc Quebecois losing support to the Liberals, it will not be enough to win. I think NDP will lose party status and lose a large number of seats, and will win less then 12 seats. I think the Bloc Quebecois will lose a decent number of seats to the Liberals in Quebec, but will hold onto some of them. I think the Greens will hold the 2 seats they have currently, but will lose vote share elsewhere across the country. And I think Mike De Jong will be elected as an Independent MP in Abbotsford, BC, as he is quite popular personally.



Prediction: Small Liberal majority government

Seat prediction:

Liberal 182 Conservatives 138 Bloc Quebecois 12 NDP 8 Greens 2 Independent 1



Make sure to get out there and vote tomorrow at your polling station, from 9:30 AM to 9:30 PM!

 

[thettctransitfanatic]

So .... about that election .... 338 Canada is still calling for a Liberal majority but says they will do a final update Sunday night. https://338canada.com/

The site has unfortunately been hacked and is inaccessible.

 

[christiesplits]

Seat prediction:

Liberal 182 Conservatives 138 Bloc Quebecois 20 NDP 8 Greens 2 Independent 1

That looks very similar to my predictions. I think the NDP ekes out official status at 12 seats, due to a strong ground game in ridings with concentrated support.

I have:

179 - Liberal
132 - Conservatives
18 - Bloc
12 - NDP
2 - Green

In Toronto, I think Karpoche wins by a nose in Taiaiako'n-Parkdale-High Park (I go back and forth), while the Conservatives come close in York Centre and Eglinton-Lawrence, but strike out in the 416.

I suspect Jagmeet Singh resigns within the next few weeks, but I'm less certain about Poilievre.

 

[Richard White]

I suspect Jagmeet Singh resigns within the next few weeks, but I'm less certain about Poilievre.

If the NDP loses party status Jagmeet will be pressured to immediately resign. If he ignores advice, he would be tossed at the next leadership convention.

In either case, I don't see a situation where the NDP loses party status and Jagmeet stays on.

If the CPC loses enough seats and/or loses Carlton (PPs seat) I can see Pierre Pollievre resigning as leader.

In any case, I expect changes especially if we end up with a LPC Majority

 

[thettctransitfanatic]

That looks very similar to my predictions. I think the NDP ekes out official status at 12 seats, due to a strong ground game in ridings with concentrated support.

I have:

179 - Liberal
132 - Conservatives
18 - Bloc
12 - NDP
2 - Green

In Toronto, I think Karpoche wins by a nose in Taiaiako'n-Parkdale-High Park (I go back and forth), while the Conservatives come close in York Centre and Eglinton-Lawrence, but strike out in the 416.

I suspect Jagmeet Singh resigns within the next few weeks, but I'm less certain about Poilievre.

I had to update mine and I lowered the Bloc down to 12. I just think that Quebec when it votes in a wave it tends to votes in a big way. 2011 is a good example of this. I do think it's possible the NDP could do a bit better with the ground game but I still think it would be less then 20. The 1 Independent is in BC. Poilievre I think will either have to be forced out or, what I think is possible, is that the CPC will blame the loss on the NDP collapse, and will basically try to say PP got a raw deal, blah blah.

 

[picard102]

The site has unfortunately been hacked and is inaccessible.

Conservatives can't have people seeing PP losing.