[Bayer]

I'm in Scarborough Southwest and it's a bit of a different story here.

Plenty of NDP signs in key areas but not many in residential locations.

An interesting anecdote, I've noticed we had very few visits by candidates or their representatives this election.

We also had very little (if any) campaign lit left behind.

It's almost as though this election caught everyone so off-guard that they made due with what they had on hand. It's like they didn't have time to find a candidate and produce literature in time for it to be effective

Same here in University-Rosedale - there was a canvasser for Freeland who knocked at the very beginning and asked me to add my signature to her nomination paper. No one else came by, and the only literature I got was a CPC flyer that I put through the shredder immediately.

 

[evandyk]

I saw Julie Dzerovicz at Dufferin Station one morning, and that was it for me in Davenport.

 

[evandyk]

I’ll be up late tomorrow night. Hopefully it’s a blowout so I can hit the sheets before midnight.

I think we'll know well before midnight if the polls were broadly right and we're getting a Carney government. If it's in that 43-39 range, it'll probably be pretty late before we know whether it's a majority or minority.

If the gap is smaller than that, it likely means quite a late night and a bunch of recounts. But even if the Liberals have fewer seats in the end, they'll get the first shot at forming government, so you can probably go to bed at midnight knowing that Carney is our PM for at least a couple more months.

 

[Jonny5]

It's almost as though this election caught everyone so off-guard that they made due with what they had on hand. It's like they didn't have time to find a candidate and produce literature in time for it to be effective

Or they didn't have time to fundraise enough cash to pay for it.

 

[evandyk]

Trump comes out with an election day campaign ad for Carney.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1916834251925836260

 

[Admiral Beez]

Trump comes out with an election day campaign ad for Carney.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1916834251925836260

This will be the final push for any remaining voters on the fence for the NDP, BQ or Greens to vote Liberal.

 

[Northern Light]

Polievre's riding of Carleton saw the highest advance turnout in the nation, at 45%

Edit to add: Elections Canada has made the extraordinary move, in light of the above, to allow vote counting to begin six hours before polls close in that riding.

The results will not be released until after polls close.

However, this should mean a fairly clear picture on the outcome in that riding in the first hour or so after the polls close.

 

[Richard White]

Polievre's riding of Carleton saw the highest advance turnout in the nation, at 45%

Edit to add: Elections Canada has made the extraordinary move, in light of the above, to allow vote counting to begin six hours before polls close in that riding.

The results will not be released until after polls close.

However, this should mean a fairly clear picture on the outcome in that riding in the first hour or so after the polls close.

I wonder how many other ridings will be delayed due to high turnout on election day.

I also wonder if this election has been so polarized by Trump that we see something reminiscent of the 1984 Election where Mulroney walked away with 211 seats.

 

[slickpete83]

^ yeah could be , one flaw with these polls like nanos etc.. , from what i understand its a computer that generates random phone numbers and makes calls , but the problem is most young people don't pick up unknown numbers or hang up lol.. ,so maybe only older people are answering these polls and another thing is that we all now have mobile phones rather then home phones so tracking exact location is hard, I personally just hang up I don't know if its real or just a scam

 

[Admiral Beez]

Polievre's riding of Carleton saw the highest advance turnout in the nation, at 45%

I wonder what this means, beyond an enthusiastic engagement level? Are these Liberal voters eager to smash Poilievre, or diehard Cons wanting to ensure their man wins. We have no way of knowing of course, as we don't do exit polls, thank goodness. But this will be one to watch tonight! That and the erasure of the Greens and much of the NDP.

And then there's Quebec, where Radio Canada has reported on the tweet, https://ici.radio-canada.ca/rci/fr/nouvelle/2160946/trump-vote-canada-canadiens. In 2000 the Liberals won their best ever showing in post-BQ Quebec with 48% of the seats. I expect they'll win over half of Quebec's seats this time around. And every seat in Atlantic Canada.

 

[Richard White]

I wonder what this means, beyond an enthusiastic engagement level? Are these Liberal voters eager to smash Poilievre, or diehard Cons wanting to ensure their man wins. We have no way of knowing of course, as we don't do exit polls, thank goodness. But this will be one to watch tonight!

What happens if it's a 50/50 split in seat counts?

 

[Admiral Beez]

What happens if it's a 50/50 split in seat counts?

It's not codified anywhere in Westminster tradition, but AIUI, the government stands as is for the moment, with the Speaker voting to maintain the status quo. Unless some members of the opposition will support the government, a new election is called. I did a quick check on ChatGPT:

Quebec, Canada — 1878 Election​

• Result:
  
  • Conservatives: 32 seats
  • Liberals: 32 seats
• What happened:
  
  • It triggered negotiations and cross-floor support.
  • A coalition-like government managed to function briefly.
• Key point: This showed that even in strict 50/50 outcomes, the Westminster model defaulted to negotiation first, not immediate collapse.

 

[evandyk]

Polievre's riding of Carleton saw the highest advance turnout in the nation, at 45%

Edit to add: Elections Canada has made the extraordinary move, in light of the above, to allow vote counting to begin six hours before polls close in that riding.

I found the official rationale. Apparently it's not just the high advance turnout, it's that it's also the riding targeted by those clowns in the Longest Ballot Committee and each ballot has 91 candidates and is as long as an adult giraffe's leg.

Fact sheet: Counting ballots in the electoral district of Carleton

Fact sheet: Counting ballots in the electoral district of Carleton

www.elections.ca

 

[Richard White]

I found the official rationale. Apparently it's not just the high advance turnout, it's that it's also the riding targeted by those clowns in the Longest Ballot Committee and each ballot has 91 candidates and is as long as an adult giraffe's leg.

Fact sheet: Counting ballots in the electoral district of Carleton

Fact sheet: Counting ballots in the electoral district of Carleton

www.elections.ca

I'm surprised they don't use scantron ballots in situations like this

 

[picard102]

^ yeah could be , one flaw with these polls like nanos etc.. , from what i understand its a computer that generates random phone numbers and makes calls , but the problem is most young people don't pick up unknown numbers or hang up lol.. ,so maybe only older people are answering these polls and another thing is that we all now have mobile phones rather then home phones so tracking exact location is hard, I personally just hang up I don't know if its real or just a scam

But they also do online polling, and their models account, or should, for any imbalance.