News   GLOBAL  |  Apr 02, 2020
 10K     0 
News   GLOBAL  |  Apr 01, 2020
 42K     0 
News   GLOBAL  |  Apr 01, 2020
 6K     0 

In my industry, the revocation of the de minimis and the imposition of tariff bureaucracy have caused what can be, without hyperbole, described as catastrophic delays and/or unrecoverable roadblocks for Canadian CPG brands.

Even if products are CUSMA exempt, it’s the paperwork and sheer volume of customs work many times above US border capacity that is in practice making it impossible to ship to what was previously these brands’ largest markets, inevitably killing them off. Small businesses are folding, and suppliers for larger companies are calling it quits which themselves are at risk of collapse, taking good jobs with them.

This is serious and I don’t really hear PM Carney talking about it, only about non-CUSMA tariffed industries (metals, lumber, agricultural goods, etc). The benefit of NAFTA wasn’t that it waived tariffs, it was that it harmonized our cross border trade so that commerce passed through with little to no friction. That’s all gone and the deck of cards is shaking precipitously. Where’s the Prime Minister?
 
Last edited:
In my industry, the revocation of the de minimis and the imposition of tariff bureaucracy have caused what can be, without hyperbole, described as catastrophic delays and/or unrecoverable roadblocks for Canadian CPG brands.

Even if products are CUSMA exempt, it’s the paperwork and sheer volume of customs work many times above US border capacity that is in practice making it impossible to ship to what was previously these brands’ largest markets, inevitably killing them off. Small businesses are folding, and suppliers for larger companies are calling it quits which themselves are at risk of collapse, taking good jobs with them.

This is serious and I don’t really hear PM Carney talking about it, only about non-CUSMA tariffed industries (metals, lumber, agricultural goods, etc). The benefit of NAFTA wasn’t that it waived tariffs, it was that it harmonized our cross border trade so that commerce passed through with little to no friction. That’s all gone and the deck of cards is shaking precipitously. Where’s the Prime Minister?

Ask him!


Don't like the answer, flag someone in the media to do the asking, publicly.
 
Except they don't? Most places shoo away regular folks. Not top talent.
How many foreign students that come to Canada are top talent?

For attracting top talent from overseas, I'd support offering them (from their country of origin) PR and the low tuition (and gov't loans) that entails if they commit to staying in Canada afterward, perhaps with provincial restrictions or incentives rolled in - such as the Saskatchewan Medical Association, for example granting an expedited certification track to become a MD in SK. This would only go to qualified applicants destined for roles Canada has a shortage of, such as an health and elder care or top level information tech. I'm less warm to attracting immigrants for our Skilled Trades, but instead I'd rather we divert much of Canada's youth (and marketing to their parents) towards becoming electricians, plumbers, welders, carpenters, HVAC technicians, and mechanics. So, no more using the TFW or Study Permit programs to fill the staffing needs of the likes of UberEats, Tim Hortons, Cargill or Amazon. TFW should only be seasonal agriculture, with no one staying in Canada for more than six months - like it used to be.
 
Last edited:
In my industry, the revocation of the de minimis and the imposition of tariff bureaucracy have caused what can be, without hyperbole, described as catastrophic delays and/or unrecoverable roadblocks for Canadian CPG brands.

Even if products are CUSMA exempt, it’s the paperwork and sheer volume of customs work many times above US border capacity that is in practice making it impossible to ship to what was previously these brands’ largest markets, inevitably killing them off. Small businesses are folding, and suppliers for larger companies are calling it quits which themselves are at risk of collapse, taking good jobs with them.

This is serious and I don’t really hear PM Carney talking about it, only about non-CUSMA tariffed industries (metals, lumber, agricultural goods, etc). The benefit of NAFTA wasn’t that it waived tariffs, it was that it harmonized our cross border trade so that commerce passed through with little to no friction. That’s all gone and the deck of cards is shaking precipitously. Where’s the Prime Minister?
You could explain this nuance to some of the politics bureaus (CBC, CTV) and see if they are interested in covering it. Non tariff barriers it sounds like.
 
How many foreign students that come to Canada are top talent?

Not many. Because we penalize top talent. And you seem to what to add to that for some reason.

For attracting top talent from overseas, I'd support offering them (from their country of origin) PR and the low tuition (and gov't loans) that entails if they commit to staying in Canada afterward, perhaps with provincial restrictions or incentives rolled in - such as the Saskatchewan Medical Association, for example granting an expedited certification track to become a MD in SK. This would only go to qualified applicants destined for roles Canada has a shortage of, such as an health and elder care or top level information tech.

You don't seem to understand how this level of talent works. I know, because I have extended family at this level. Canada is never their first choice. Increasingly not their second or third choice (ironically because they see the crappy immigrants that get in). If they have to leave, they likely aren't coming back. People like this aren't sitting around and waiting for Canada to call.

You're thinking of every Indian student you see as an Uber driver. My cousin's daughter has a Masters and PG diploma in Data Science and Analytics from Waterloo. She came here to study because of my family (reassurance and support). The only reason she stayed in Canada is because Bell hired her right out of co-op. Applying your logic, she could well have been snapped up by an American or European tech company. It's a win for Canada she's here.

We should be making it easier for talent we want. And cracking down on those we want out.
 
Last edited:
If they have to leave, they likely aren't coming back. People like this aren't sitting around and waiting for Canada to call.
No, as I propose above, we recruit the best from overseas, offer them PR and lower tuition along with provincial or territorial sponsorships and fast tracks to certification and working. Under that scheme, they’d never have to leave.
 
This is serious and I don’t really hear PM Carney talking about it, only about non-CUSMA tariffed industries (metals, lumber, agricultural goods, etc). The benefit of NAFTA wasn’t that it waived tariffs, it was that it harmonized our cross border trade so that commerce passed through with little to no friction. That’s all gone and the deck of cards is shaking precipitously. Where’s the Prime Minister?
After Lutnick's threats against Canada's auto industry, everyone's attention has been on the auto sector the past few days. However, even if the sector survives Trump i'm not sure the jobs will survive the inevitable automation. The robots are coming.

This recent article in the telegraph outline's how advanced Chinese factories have become:

1760504045221.png

“It’s the most humbling thing I’ve ever seen,"said Ford’s chief executive about his recent trip to China.

After visiting a string of factories, Jim Farley was left astonished by the technical innovations being packed into Chinese cars – from self-driving software to facial recognition.

“Their cost and the quality of their vehicles is far superior to what I see in the West", Farley warned in July.
Andrew Forrest, the Australian billionaire behind mining giant Fortescue – which is investing massively in green energy – says his trips to China convinced him to abandon his company’s attempts to manufacture electric vehicle powertrains in-house.

“I can take you to factories [in China] now, where you’ll basically be alongside a big conveyor and the machines come out of the floor and begin to assemble parts", he says.

“And you’re walking alongside this conveyor, and after about 800, 900 metres, a truck drives out. There are no people – everything is robotic."
Other executives describe vast, “dark factories" where robots do so much of the work alone that there is no need to even leave the lights on for humans.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/busines...executives-visit-china-coming-back-terrified/
 
Last edited:

Brampton Jeep plant at risk as Stellantis announces $13-billion U.S. expansion​

In a written statement, Stellantis acknowledged that it would be moving “one model” from Canada to the U.S.

https://archive.ph/OzbkG#selection-3745.26-3755.108

This was inevitable after over 6 months of complete inaction on the part of Carney. Last week during Carney's visit to the White House Trump griped to his face "the problem with Canada is they want an auto plant, and we want an auto plant". Trump's commerce secretary Howard Lutnick chimed in with "why are we making cars in Canada?". Trump further complained that Canada "competes" with the US in cars to which Carney nodded in agreement instead of responding: "actually Mr. President, we don't compete in cars we collaborate in producing cars and this collaboration has been good for both the United States and Canada for over thirty years and for the betterment of both countries we need to get back to collaborating".

As with his first visit to the Oval Office Carney did nothing to stand up for Canadian autoworkers. Carney should have interjected with: "The reason why we build cars in Canada is because Canadians BUY cars in fact Canada is the BIGGEST EXPORT MARKET for US-made cars. Canadians have been buying cars from the Detroit Big Three for over 100 years and if you stop buying Canadian made cars, we will stop buying American-made cars. It's as simple as that. Did you know Mr. President that in 2024 the US had a $7 billion SURPLUS in trade in cars with Canada with exports of almost $60 billion! You wouldn't want to lose all that business, would you?" Instead, Carney sat silent with a stupid look on his face.

In response to the Stellantis announcement Carney issued a statement in a tweet captioned "Canada’s new government will always be there for Canadian auto workers". Could there be a bigger admission of failure? How will Carney "be there for Canadian auto workers"? Is he going to streamline the unemployment insurance claims process? Is he going to extend claims periods? No doubt there will be a few million for retraining. These Stellantis auto jobs are gone and are not coming back.

Why is it so hard for a Canadian prime minister to tell Trump that free-trade is a two-way street not a zero-sum game and if he makes it impossible for Canada to sell our manufactured goods in the United States, we will stop buying American-made products. Is there anything that the Americans make - other than the most advanced AI chips - that we cannot make ourselves or buy from friendly countries including China?

The time is past due for Carney to meet with Xi Jinping in person and work out a deal on Chinese EV's. Drop the 100% tariff and reduce to a level that will still protect Canadian production. At the same time, we should be talking with the Chinese automakers about local Canadian production. This year BYD will invest more outside of China as it builds local production around the world. Why isn't Canada getting in on this action? Of course, any Chinese factory in Canada will be highly automated as noted in the post above. In China they have "dark factories" where they don't have to have the lights on because there are no human workers just robots.

If I was advising Carney, I would tell him it is time to inflict pain on the Americans. Most automakers don't produce cars in Canada. As an example, most Tesla's, BMW's, Mercedes, Nissan's, Hyundais and KIA's sold in Canada are assembled in the United States. None of these brands build in Canada. We should immediately put 50% tariffs on these brands, and we should tell these automakers that if they can't build cars in Canada, they need to source cars from their other international plants because we do not want to buy American made cars anymore. In the case of Tesla, we need to tell Elon he has to source from China and Germany for the Canadian market. We do not want any more Tesla's made in Fremont CA or Austin TX. This will get Trump's attention!

Of course, such action will cause a temporary reduction in brands available in Canada for sale but only for a few years until we re-align our auto supply chain away from American made cars. If Carney announced such a plan Trump would do a TACO and drop all tariffs on Canada. Without the Canadian market the Detroit Big Three could not survive. The Mexicans don't buy their cars. Canada saved GM and Stellantis (Chrysler) from bankruptcy once. We won't be around to save them again.
 
Last edited:

Brampton Jeep plant at risk as Stellantis announces $13-billion U.S. expansion​

"why are we making cars in Canada?".
Once the UAW took over the cost of healthcare and benefits from the manufacturers, and now that plants are more automated and need less wage earners, and lastly that only about 12% of the cars made in Canada are sold here, with the majority sold in the US, Trump’s question is a fair one.
If I was advising Carney, I would tell him it is time to inflict pain on the Americans.
That’s pain on Canadians, not Americans. Tariffs are a tax increase on Canadians. Any PM campaigning on tax increases won’t be popular. And we can’t bring Teslas in from China unless we cancel the 100% tariffs on Chinese made EVs.

And besides, our beef should be with the Dutch, since they own Stellantis, and this decision ultimately came out of Amsterdam.
 
Last edited:
Once the UAW took over the cost of healthcare and benefits from the manufacturers, and now that plants are more automated and need less wage earners, and lastly that only about 12% of the cars made in Canada are sold here, with the majority sold in the US, Trump’s question is a fair one.
Yes, only 12% of the cars made in Canada are sold in Canada which is EXACTLY what you would expect in a free-trade agreement between Canada and the US where Canada is 1/10 the size of the US (basic math).

Did you expect that 100% of cars made in Canada would be sold only in Canada. If that were the case the ONLY cars that would be sold in Canada would be:

  1. GM Silverado pickup trucks
  2. Chrysler Mini Vans
  3. Dodge Charger EV
  4. Toyota RAV 4
  5. Honda CRV
This is how a free trade agreement between the United States and Canada is supposed to work. Ideally on a per capita basis Canadians should be buying as many cars from the United States as the Americans buy from us and that is how it has worked for three decades until now. Trump has said "we don't want to buy cars from Canada". Trump's commerce secretary Howard Lutnick has asked, "why do we make cars in Canada" and has vowed to poach all auto jobs from Canada saying, "there is nothing Canada can do about it" and for some reason this statement from Lutnick didn't register shock in Canada.

There is nothing "fair" about Turmp's question.

If you believe that Trump's question was "fair" does that mean that you think Canadians should stop building cars and only buy American-made cars? If so, why stop at cars? Maybe aerospace should be next. Should we be shipping our aerospace jobs south?
 
"Stellantis" :rolleyes: whatever happened to Chrysler?
Bankrupt in 2009.


Too bad. I fondly remember my first car in 1996, a 1989 Plymouth Sundance four door, see below. We immediately drove to Ottawa for a late breakfast at Zaks, then a week later drove to Cochrane to take the Polar Bear Express train, and then soon after to Sault Ste. Marie to take the Agawa Canyon Train. That little car gave us the freedom from public transit and took us everywhere.

images
 
Last edited:

Back
Top