News   GLOBAL  |  Apr 02, 2020
A Message to Our Readers
 10K     0 
News   GLOBAL  |  Apr 01, 2020
EarthCam Time-Lapse Documents Rafael Viñoly-Designed New Stanford Hospital Construction
 42K     0 
News   GLOBAL  |  Apr 01, 2020
Resort Town
 6K     0 

Quebec was supposed to lose a seat in the last redistribution but were successful in having the rules changed so that they didn't have to do so. As for Atlantic Canada it's mostly just a historic piece and a recognition of representation for smaller provinces (similar to the territories being over represented). Based on growth i suspect AB, BC, & Ontario will likely again see added representation in the next federal electoral district redistribution process which should occur after the May 2031 census. It's not perfect but I think undergoing the exhaustive process every 10 years is reasonable even if I may lament the fact that already as things sit today Alberta has about 135k people per electoral district compared to around 117k people per electoral district in Quebec.
 
Here is a break down of representation in Canada. Quebec is about as average as one can get. Manitoba and Saskatchewan are over represented. To claim smaller provinces need greater representation doesn’t hold water Alberta has historically been a smaller province and never had the same considerations as Atlantic provinces. Ontario is the province with the lowest representation on a per capitor
1747161360224.png
 
Last edited:
Quebec's population per riding is around the average and I don't think at this point Alberta would be considered a smaller province anymore.

When you add up Alberta and BC they have more seats now than Quebec, even more so if you add in the other two western provinces, Saskatchewan and Manitoba.

The four western provinces are actually not that far off in total number of ridings from Ontario, which no other region comes close to.
 
Now that Edmonton has all seats within city limits, I envision that remaining the case in future iterations of redistribution. My guess is Edmonton will get another electoral district next go around and it will be west/centrally located maybe called Edmonton - Whitemud taking up parts of Edmonton Centre & Edmonton Strathcona (which are densifying) and some of the more centrally located areas of Edmonton Winterburn/West/Riverbend which are all going to have grown population wise, due to greenfield building, in a big way once this process occurs again.

1747169614002.png
 
I believe the census after next (2031) is what they will use for the process so Edmonton will certainly be more in the 1.6+ range but the population per seat also will rise. Eventually the number of MPs needs to hit a limit but that won't happen for a while based on the set in number each province essentially has locked in currently. Would be a really fun exercise to be apart of working through.
 
David A said:
Quebec's population per riding is around the average and I don't think at this point Alberta would be considered a smaller province anymore.

When you add up Alberta and BC they have more seats now than Quebec, even more so if you add in the other two western provinces, Saskatchewan and Manitoba.

The four western provinces are actually not that far off in total number of ridings from Ontario, which no other region comes close to.
Click to expand...
Alberta's population per HOC seat is below average - it doesn't matter what the four western provinces are and that Quebec is average. The Atlantic provinces have too many HOC seats. A voter in PEI has almost four times as much power as a voter in Alberta - and this is not right. It should be equal. For example, one seat per each 150 000 people - but apparently that would be too complicated for a politically corrupt country like Canada. It most certainly helps the Liberals who own the Maritimes. And don't get me started on the Senate which makes no sense at all. Canada could reform the Senate like Australia did but the powers that be will never allow this to happen. Alberta punches way above its weight economically for this country but gets the seriously short changed with representation policitcally at the federal level. Alberta and BC together have 1.6 million more people the Quebec and only two more seats - this is a joke. Interesting the Liberals did not choose the only Liberal elected in Calgary for their cabinet - the nation's fourth largest city and center of the most important industry in Canada left out of Cabinet.
 
Last edited:
Whatup said:
Alberta's population per HOC seat is below average - it doesn't matter what the four western provinces are and that Quebec is average. The Atlantic provinces have too many HOC seats. A voter in PEI has almost four times as much power as a voter in Alberta - and this is not right. It should be equal. For example, one seat per each 150 000 people - but apparently that would be too complicated for a politically corrupt country like Canada. It most certainly helps the Liberals who own the Maritimes. And don't get me started on the Senate which makes no sense at all. Canada could reform the Senate like Australia did but the powers that be will never allow this to happen. Alberta punches way above its weight economically for this country but gets the seriously short changed with representation policitcally at the federal level. Alberta and BC together have 1.6 million more people the Quebec and only two more seats - this is a joke. Interesting the Liberals did not choose the only Liberal elected in Calgary for their cabinet - the nation's fourth largest city and center of the most important industry in Canada left out of Cabinet.
Click to expand...
If you mean centre of oil and gas ... those commodities are under and around Edmonton, Northern Alberta and not Calgary. If you mean some HQ jobs for most of the oil patch - so what. With Trump in bed with the Arabs, likely a long term deal for cheap oil and gas will be on offer and dialing down the pipeline flow from Alberta to the USA may be in the cards. In any event cabinet changes, shuffles will happen and maybe if the Calgary MP performs capably as a foot solider he will be elevated before his term is finished.
 
EdmTrekker said:
If you mean centre of oil and gas ... those commodities are under and around Edmonton, Northern Alberta and not Calgary. If you mean some HQ jobs for most of the oil patch - so what. With Trump in bed with the Arabs, likely a long term deal for cheap oil and gas will be on offer and dialing down the pipeline flow from Alberta to the USA may be in the cards. In any event cabinet changes, shuffles will happen and maybe if the Calgary MP performs capably as a foot solider he will be elevated before his term is finished.
Click to expand...
Calgary is the second biggest HQ city in Canada - this matters. It is a economic powerhouse city in Canada.
 
Whatup said:
Calgary is the second biggest HQ city in Canada - this matters. It is a economic powerhouse city in Canada.
Click to expand...
All of the economic activity of a company is not generated in the place where it happens to have its head office.

Lets not forget, a lot of the people who work for those companies and economic activity generated by those companies happens here and elsewhere in Alberta too.
 
The_Cat said:
I think the issue of federal seat distribution is that Quebec needs to stay at 75 seats.
Click to expand...
Not just Quebec, but all of the smaller provinces want to maintain the number of seats they have, which includes most of Atlantic Canada as well, so its not 75 seats but more like 110.
 
BASE said:
Now that Edmonton has all seats within city limits, I envision that remaining the case in future iterations of redistribution. My guess is Edmonton will get another electoral district next go around and it will be west/centrally located maybe called Edmonton - Whitemud taking up parts of Edmonton Centre & Edmonton Strathcona (which are densifying) and some of the more centrally located areas of Edmonton Winterburn/West/Riverbend which are all going to have grown population wise, due to greenfield building, in a big way once this process occurs again.

View attachment 651077
Click to expand...

Very interesting since this would almost certainly become a swing riding much like Edmonton Centre. I note that the non-Conservative vote in Riverbend was very high.
 
You must log in or register to post here.

Back
Top