zang
Senior Member
The H1B presser was a good indicator that Trump isn't really running the show any more. They basically have to explain the policy to him in the room on air, and he kind of waves away and says yeah that sounds great whatever. He seems more concerned with building his ballroom. I'm confident they just tell him whatever they think will make him happy and then do everything else in the background. There's zero chance at this stage he has any idea what an H1B is or what it does. He's not well health-wise and I don't know if he makes it to 2026.
He's certainly not listening to his tech sponsors. H1B visa charges are gonna have an extremely big impact on tech companies. The problem is that those jobs have been filled with H1B visa holders precisely because there aren't enough qualified US citizens. And it's not like these are foreign worker wages; these are $150k/yr+ jobs that have always been just as open to US workers as foreign ones.
No skilled developer's gonna fork over $100k/yr of their own money to make just $50k. If Amazon were to sponsor these its current H1B visa workers under the new rules (and subsequently pay for their $100k fee), it'd be over $1.1B in additional costs to the company.
Unless 500,000 US citizens can suddenly bump up their skillsets dramatically (as to why they wouldn't have before, I don't know), they're gonna be trying to fill these roles for years to come. There just isn't the appetite amongst Americans towards STEM education to replace them. And it's especially damaging when these companies are all poaching from each other for AI supremacy. GO figure, when politicians spend the last decade demonizing science, tech and post-secondary education, you have to be aware it's gonna come home to roost some day.
All the TechBros who sucked up hard to Trump during his inauguration are likely feeling a very deep and very painful sense of regret right now.