Janice Stein, an expert in negotiations and international relations, was on
Peter Mansbridge's podcast yesterday. Before the announcement of the tariff delays in Mexico and Canada, she suggested that Canada came out too hard with their retaliatory response, as it didn't give the opposing side much of an offramp. She believed Canada should have come in lower, so that the Americans would think (more) about what they were imposing. The sentiment of Canadians on social media seems to suggest we were all gung-ho to hit back hard, but I'm not sure that feelings online (in the proverbial bubble) translate to many impactful actions... Will we all forget about buying Canadian in a months time?
Some of the provincial announcements about removing or cancelling US goods/contracts seem to hurt Canadians most if anything, and didn't play at all over the airwaves stateside as Janice also brought up. While it sends a message, I'm not sure the US population really cares. In the words of Musk when he heard about the Starlink contract: '
oh well'.
Additionally, she opined that this could be more about Trump and Trudeau not liking each other. On one hand, I've read that Trump is sensitive to how people don't
bend the knee and can be vindictive. On the other hand, I wonder if Trump respected the decisions made by Trudeau and his team as a show of strength, which he has been known to show a liking for.
Was this all just a play to give extra work to someone Trump doesn't like and give them a bit of a headache to make him feel superior? Team Trump has a long history of announcing tariffs as a path to negotiate what they are really after, under a veil of national security excuses. Interestingly, China still remains silent... if like the last round, will eventually announce their own to counter, and maybe some minor concessions while the majority of tariffs stay in place.