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There was a debate this morning between what I thought was top 3 candidates - top 2 for sure.


A poll was done during show with 128 votes (the least accurate of the 3 polls today)

54% - Knack
25% - Walters
20% - Cartmell

Most interesting comment was from Cartmell, who channelled Pierre Poilievre (who said Trump wanted Carney to win).
Cartmell said Danielle Smith wants Andrew Knack to win.
 
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Interesting. Every main poll so far seems to show something fairly different which either means there is quite a bit of volatility or they are capturing different things.

I also feel most of the undecided at this point are unlikely to go for the two possible front runners and there still seems to be a lot of them, so it still could be an interesting and unpredictable race.
 
Today's 2 polls have got to be deflating for Walters who is running behind Omar Mohammad in both. Omar is not going to win.

Rahim Jaffer is also probably saying why did I even bother. He's been campaigning hard, too. But it's not translating.

Advanced voting is in a few days - time is running out fast.

Based on all the undecided, I'm going to make a prediction that voter turnout is going to be poor and many people who can't decide won't even bother.
 
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TAS said:
In terms of trying to improve dt, this council approved $45 million for dt park in 2024, and approved the $250 million event centre in 2025. And now the student housing initiative which is a significant initiaitve.

I'd say those are 3 highlights with long lasting impacts. 2022 especially was a bust with covid recovery and no city could anticipate the proliferation of homelessness - even though city spent $91 million on affordable housing this term. Large cuts provincially, too.

Of course major dollars were already committed to lrt expansion making dt more accessible for many - that huge cost will impact the current and next council in terms of money to spend on other things.
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Arguably one of the most impactful things was the housing accelerator tax break that got us 6-7 new major projects. Was that 2021/2022?

I also think both valley lines plus the jasper ave renewals are going to be major boosts. They’ve just been a good decade in the making and the true impact still isn’t seen.
 
TAS said:
I think Walters got into this race too late.

Two-person race.
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I like Walter’s. But there’s too much “vote consolidation” that’ll happen. Moderates considering him will likely feel forced to knack or Cartmell as a compromise. Less of a vote for, and more of a vote against mindset.
 
Glenco said:
I have a hard time trusting this poll
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Likewise, this seems quite suspect to me also. I don't see how Cartmell has rebounded so much and Knack is behind a fair amount, or how Mohammed and Caterina have surged.

The movements do not make much sense, people are not switching from Knack to Mohammed and Caterina and probably not that much to Cartmell either.
 
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