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Extending amortizations to 30 years for first time buyers on existing homes
30 years is insane. No one can predict where they will be or what their financial or relationship status will be after three decades. For example, 40% of Canadian marriages end in divorce.
 
30 years is insane. No one can predict where they will be or what their financial or relationship status will be after three decades. For example, 40% of Canadian marriages end in divorce.
The biggest risk is the first renewal as very little principal is repaid in the first 5 years. So a 5% down payment gives precious little cushion for home prices to turn downwards before the borrower is underwater at renewal time. I don't think 25 or 30 years makes a material difference for predicting life circumstances at the end of the amortization period.
 
Shifting the tax burden from new development to general property tax base (ideally biased as more of a land value tax) would have the benefit of lowering resale home values and new home prices. It's obviously the right thing to do socially, but it is not politically palatable. Maybe it is a matter of having the province ban DCs altogether, or at least capping them at a certain value (much lower than present), indexed to inflation.
 
here is an interesting take having Land Value Tax (LVT) instead of our traditional property tax system


In this episode, we’re diving into a timeless economic solution that’s gaining new attention in today’s housing debates: the Land Value Tax (LVT).


Unlike traditional property taxes, which tax both land and the structures on it, a Land Value Tax focuses solely on the land. This means property owners aren’t penalized for making improvements, like building more housing—a crucial distinction in the context of today’s housing crisis.


We’ll explore the origins of this idea, tracing back to economists like Adam Smith and David Ricardo in the 1700s, and its popularization by Henry George in his influential 1879 book Progress and Poverty. Advocates of LVT, often called Georgists, have emerged from across the political spectrum, including notable figures like Milton Friedman and Joseph Stiglitz.


Joining us is Floyd Marinesco from Common Wealth Canada, a think tank advocating for a Land Value Tax to address housing challenges in Canada. Floyd shares insights into how this idea could reshape housing markets and what lessons might apply to other regions facing similar issues.
 
To be fair, the government *should* be making it super expensive to build single detached houses in Toronto
To be fair to whom? Besides, outside of teardowns/rebuilds of existing detached properties, who's building single detached houses in Toronto? Every new single family home I've seen built in the last ten years is either a row house, semi-detached or part the base level of a larger condo tower. Is there any vacant land to buy in the 416 where one can build a single detached house?
 

Toronto-area home sales surge 40% in November as prices start to edge up​

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The average selling price in the GTA fell by 17 per cent in November compared to the February 2022 peak, but is still around 36 per cent above 2019 levels. While interest rates have fallen, some experts believe the market is still too expensive for first-time buyers who make up a significant number of housing demand, while other experts forecast a red-hot spring market.
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Annual sales were up significantly for all housing types with detached, semi-detached, townhouse and condos seeing increased of 44 per cent, 25 per cent, 46 per cent and 36 per cent, respectively.
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