christiesplits
Senior Member
Cabinet minister and Burlington MP Karina Gould is officially in the race.
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- Thread starter Richard White
- Start date
Northern Light
Superstar
When did 'official' stop being when Northern Light posts it? LOL
Jonny5
Senior Member
I remember those vaguely from being born in the early 1980's, and one major point of contention was that in addition to your name it also showed your address and occupation too, with many women being labelled as "housewife". I think those were gone by 1993 election. 1988 was probably the last.
Admiral Beez
Superstar
What does an early Ontario election, potentially to be called tomorrow, and its predicted OPC supermajority do to the federal Conservatives chances in the March/April election?
afransen
Senior Member
I don't think an OPC majority will have a big impact on the exhaustion with the federal Liberals.
Northern Light
Superstar
EKOS is out with a poll and the results are startling I would argue. Now, they may just be an outlier.....but...
This reads as minority government territory.
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The Regional Breakdowns are of even greater note.
The above from: https://www.ekospolitics.com/index....break-30-points-following-trump-inauguration/
Analysis:
These numbers suggest a Conservative minority gov't, but a Liberal Minority could not be ruled out.
A further shift of as little as 3 points would favour a Liberal Minority. For a leaderless party......
This reads as minority government territory.
****
The Regional Breakdowns are of even greater note.
The above from: https://www.ekospolitics.com/index....break-30-points-following-trump-inauguration/
Analysis:
These numbers suggest a Conservative minority gov't, but a Liberal Minority could not be ruled out.
A further shift of as little as 3 points would favour a Liberal Minority. For a leaderless party......
Richard White
Senior Member
Interesting.
I wonder if there is some concern about Pierre Poilievre now that Trump is in office?
Mihairokov
Active Member
EKOS is almost certainly an outlier until others start showing the same swing. Mainstreet and Pallas are the only other pollsters to show LPC above 25% but they still had CPC well over 40% in those samples. Only EKOS is showing this sort of number so far. I think the question to ask is whether the LPC bump, if there is one, is good because there's no leader or because of the prospective leader(s).Perhaps the public really soured on Trudeau, perhaps the public really like Carney, perhaps both or perhaps neither. Too early to say!
It would be difficult not to draw a connection between the two when they are as intertwined as they are, both on the ground and policy-wise. Canadians should rightly be concerned about a CPC government if they're worried about what they're seeing south of us, as Poilievre and his likely cabinet, at least one of whom was at inauguration, would almost certainly capitulate to any American demand. I can't emphasize enough that a CPC government here would be a death knell for many public services and social goods - combining it with the dictatorship beneath us would leave very little to be hopeful for. People really need to wake up to the fact that we can no longer assume that our public institutions will save us from this sort of political activity when the actors involved are willing to dismantle them so quickly (like when people assume there will be an election in the US in four years...).
Northern Light
Superstar
Agreed.
Also agreed. I don't feel as though any of the 'contenders' thus far are setting the world afire. Carney certainly got some personal lift out of the Jon Stewart appearance, but then appeared to be eroding any gain when he got chippy w/reporters a few days ago.
I think we all thought there might be a post-Justin bump.........but this seems fairly extreme, if, big if, its real.
Towered
Superstar
I can say that personally I soured on the Liberal party in large part due to Trudeau himself. With a new and hopefully better leader, I would definitely consider voting for them again instead of the vile PP.
Coolibop
Active Member
^ Kalama Harris had a brief bump.... Then decisively lost the election. If this comes to fruition, the mirroring would be interesting...
afransen
Senior Member
The Trudeau fatigue was strong (and he was stubbornly doing little to combat it). But I think this is more a flash in the pan...
Northern Light
Superstar
Hmmmmmm
Northern Light
Superstar
Well.........he picked up more than just Nate...........
Anita Anand and Bill Blair endorsing Carney today.
That's on top of several others.......by my count he's got almost every high profile Trudeau minister except for Freeland, and Holland.
Not sure if that works with his outsider pitch, LOL
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Bayer
Senior Member
Being an economic expert is one thing, and being PM is quite another. Like someone said, Carney could be the Michael Ignatieff of Stéphane Dions.