[Wm Perkins Bull]

March is actually worse than February. 20% loss in March vs. 18% loss in February compared to 2025. Overall, 21.3% loss so far this year compared to last year.

Historically, Brampton Transit sees an approx 10% dip in ridership in December compared to November and January. However, this January actually saw lower ridership, which might suggest this year's losses will be as bad as last year's, maybe even worse.

Dec 2016: 1816.6k
Jan 2017: 2003.0k (+10.3%)

Dec 2017: 2,170.2k
Jan 2018: 2,394.3k (+10.3%)

Dec 2018: 2,237.1k
Jan 2019: 2,429.0k (+8.5%)

Dec 2019: 2,345.3k
Jan 2020: 2.823.5k (+20.4%)

Dec 2022: 2,725.2k
Jan 2023: 3,082.7k (+13.1%)

Dec 2023: 3,131.0k
Jan 2024: 3,515.3k (+12.3%)

Dec 2024: 3,034.9k
Jan 2025: 3,136.1k (+3.3%)

Dec 2025: 2,520.2k
Jan 2026: 2,420.1k (-4.0%)

Maybe they expected 2.8 million riders in January based on the December numbers, but instead they only got 2.4 million. You can see why they might be panicking.

It would not be surprising to see reversion to 2019 ridership, as January 2026 was a hair less than January 2019 (-0.4%), and March 2026 was slightly more than March 2019 (+2.7%). September will be interesting to watch given the lack of international students coming in and permits expiring.

 

[ShonTron]

It would not be surprising to see reversion to 2019 ridership, as January 2026 was a hair less than January 2019 (-0.4%), and March 2026 was slightly more than March 2019 (+2.7%). September will be interesting to watch given the lack of international students coming in and permits expiring.

2019 ridership was still really respectable for its time, my fear is that Brampton won’t try to build ridership back up the old fashioned way that worked so well – continuous service improvements.

 

[doady]

If you remember what Brampton Transit was like in 2004, then the ridership falling back to 2019 levels is not so bad...