[HousingNowTO]

HNTO - Federal Election 2025 for City of Toronto

a.) New Federal Riding Borders
b.) Seat Counts
c.) Rookie MPs tagged by Federal Riding

 

[HousingNowTO]

HNTO - Federal Election 2025 for City of Toronto

View attachment 647303
a.) New Federal Riding Borders
b.) Seat Counts
c.) Rookie MPs tagged by Federal Riding

From our Twitter and LinkedIn posts -

https://twitter.com/x/status/1917232223268585945

 

[UtakataNoAnnex]

^...just to note that for most of those ridings the Liberal candidates won more than 50% of the popular vote. It was mostly the *big blue wave meets the great red wall here.

*Note: Blue wave as in just north of this ridings where getting flipped for the Conservatives, making our area the no-effing-way zone. And for what that's worth.

 

[Admiral Beez]

That hasn't stop them from changing the coach in the past...

Well, yes, that's why I mentioned that Poilievre is the fifth CPC leader (elected and interim) since Harper resigned in 2015. Maybe the revolving door isn't helping.

 

[AlvinofDiaspar]

Well, yes, that's why I mentioned that Poilievre is the fifth CPC leader (elected and interim) since Harper resigned in 2015. Maybe the revolving door isn't helping.

Ironically, Erin O'Toole would probably have won this election - but of course, Pierre and his braintrust (Jenni) orchestrated their own palace intrigue, and here we are.

AoD

 

[thettctransitfanatic]

CBC Decision Desk has declared a Liberal minority government. Liberals win popular vote for first time since 2015, highest vote share since Pierre Trudeau in 1980. Conservatives get highest vote share since Brian Mulroney in 1988 and above Stephen Harper's 2011 performance. NDP gets lowest vote share in it's history. Turnout is up in this election, up to 68.3%, highest voter turnout since 2015.

Final results:

Liberal 169 (+17) 43.7%
8,562,852 votes (+11.1 percent)

Conservative 144 (+24) 41.3%
8,083,609 votes (+7.6 percent)

Bloc Quebecois 22 (-11) 6.3%
1,232,853 votes (-1.3 percent)

NDP 7 (-17) 6.3%

1,237,059 votes (-11.5 percent)

Green 1 (-1) 1.2%

244,945 votes (-1 percent)

 

[Monarch Butterfly]

Now translate that to Republican or Democratic votes, if Donald Trump gets his daydream. (More likely a nightmare for him.)

 

[picard102]

York Centre elects Roman Baber, an absolute nut job that Doug Ford wanted nothing to do with.

Yeah, it's a real stain on the riding. But people here willing to cut their nose off to spite their face if it means they think they've sent a message to the Liberals about not suppressing free speech and protests on Israel enough.

 

[picard102]

Personally, I would love to see Tom Mulcair give it another go but he is currently 70 and I am not sure he would enjoy being leader again.

I don't think we need angry Tom back in the saddle. He's continued to play contrarian since then and has a huge chip on his shoulder.

 

[Admiral Beez]

CBC Decision Desk has declared a Liberal minority government. Liberals win popular vote for first time since 2015, highest vote share since Pierre Trudeau in 1980. Conservatives get highest vote share since Brian Mulroney in 1988 and above Stephen Harper's 2011 performance. NDP gets lowest vote share in it's history. Turnout is up in this election, up to 68.3%, highest voter turnout since 2015.

Final results:

Liberal 169 (+15) 43.7% 8,532,336 votes

Conservative 144 (+16) 41.3% 8,058,456 votes

Bloc Quebecois 22 (-13) 6.3%

1,231,412 votes

NDP 7 (-17) 6.3%

1,230,933 votes

Green 1 (-1) 1.2%

243,454 votes

I also like how the Liberals have seats in every province and territory less Nunavut. A truly national government.

 

[lenaitch]

I wonder how long until we're in another election? Despite their absolute shellacking, the NDP hold the balance of power and are in a pretty good position from that respect. That said, they have absolutely nothing to lose from triggering another election if they're just looking at their seat count.

Party finances will have a lot to do with it. Without knowing the balance sheets of any of the parties, we just came through an election and if one or two parties have to hold leadership processes, that will be a further drain. I would suspect the NDP isn't all that flush right now (ever?).

You think there won't be any 2025 budget passed until 9 months into the year?

While technically feasible (Governal General's Warrants can suffiice to keep the government afloat (pay its bills) that would be pushing precedent to its outer limit.

I would imagine we'll see a quick recall, a speech from the throne, a budget, and once passed, we may recess til fall.

I agree but I'm not even sure they would recess that long. The entire foundation of this election was to 'deal with' the US, and I suspect the government will want to be seen to be dealing with it sooner than later, and I suspect the public will want to see that as well.

 

[adma]

Absolute no to online voting - we will never hear the end of technical issues, ballots being hacked, etc. I have some philosophical misgivings around the indiscriminate use of advanced voting for the sake of convenience as well.

AoD

Yeah, advance polls "because we can" or "lookit me, I'm so committed that I'm voting in advance". Whereas once upon a time, people tended to vote in advance only when they really had to (due to work or vacation or other such reasons)--nowadays, it's almost like tantrically holding off until e-day to exercise one's franchise (even when one's already "decided" from the beginning) is deemed to be as old-fashioned as land lines and print newspapers. (But one advantage to voting on e-day: your vote counts t/w your polling station, which helps those who examine poll-by-poll election stats for whatever reason)

 

[lenaitch]

Pollievre is refusing to resign. There will likely be others in the party with something to say about that...

I suspect there will be shadowy, furtive meetings at first until a night of the long knives breaks out into the open.

Poilievre brought the CPC popular vote to its highest ever (over 41%), and is the fifth CPC leader (elected and interim) since Harper resigned in 2015. Until yesterday, the CPC had never cracked 40% of the popular vote, and only Harper exceeded 35% for the CPC in 2004-08 and 2011. Poilievre deserves kudos for achieving never before levels of popular support and engagement. If he can do it again at the next federal election the Carney Libs may yet fall to the CPC.

You can't keep changing the coach every time you lose a championship. My expectation is that Poilievre stays on, waits for (or coerces) a by-election and takes his seat in the Commons before the end of summer.

Quite frankly, I suspect there is more long-term strategic thinking in sports front offices than political parties. Politics is a winner-take-all blood sport. There are factions in political parties that you don't normally have in sports. The CPC is noted for their internal divisions. Everybody is on the bosses' team until they don't deliver power, and power is the goal.

 

[lenaitch]

Yeah, advance polls "because we can" or "lookit me, I'm so committed that I'm voting in advance". Whereas once upon a time, people tended to vote in advance only when they really had to (due to work or vacation or other such reasons)--nowadays, it's almost like tantrically holding off until e-day to exercise one's franchise (even when one's already "decided" from the beginning) is deemed to be as old-fashioned as land lines and prine newspapers. (But one advantage to voting on e-day: your vote counts t/w your polling station, which helps those who examine poll-by-poll election stats for whatever reason)

I think expanded advanced voting accommodates flexibility better. Some ridings are geographically large and not everyone can clear the single voting day. A single voting day might have worked better in days of yore with hubby working and a home maker at home. Some people are a lot more mobile in their employment. Others, like farmers or fishers, might find it hard to clear a day depending on the time of year.

Voting is a foundational act of a functioning democracy and, in Canada, Constitutionally protected. I think it is correct that the State do what it has to do to provide reasonable accommodation while at the same time ensuring its integrity.

 

[UtakataNoAnnex]

Final results:

Liberal 169 (+15) 43.7% 8,532,336 votes

Conservative 144 (+16) 41.3% 8,058,456 votes

...if I am reading that right, both parties almost gained an equal amount of seats in this election.